El Niño in the newz. Again.

[The fingers]

A couple of thunder claps at 1:30 &1:40 am. No rain yet.

GOES-West - Sector view: Pacific Southwest - Geostationary Lightning Mapper - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

 

[The fingers]

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E

www.nhc.noaa.gov

 

[amberwolf]

Got drenched pretty good here last night for a while, lots of severe thunder/lightning, some high winds for a short time too.

Yard actually was squishy this morning, but it firmed up before I got home from work. Still damp, though. Dunno how much actual rain there was in inches, but it filled up the "lake" area at the streetcorner the same as it does when there's an inch or so.

Hoping we get more tonight, the storm is very slwoly inchihg westwards toward us. Could die out before it gets here.

 

[The fingers]

Real chance of rain for us from this one.

 

[The fingers]

https://www.weather.gov/media/sgx/newsletter/current-newsletter.pdf

 

[The fingers]

Detailed Forecast​

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 67. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 99. Light west wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northwest in the evening.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 69. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 79. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 67. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Breezy.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.

 

[The fingers]

Zoom in on this full disk view as Hillary moves up the peninsula towards SoCali.

GOES-West Full Disk - Sandwich - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

 

[The fingers]

From the forecast discussion:


Our attention turns to Hurricane Hilary and it`s potential
impacts on Southern California Saturday through Monday. Hurricane
Hilary is expected to rapidly intensify as it moves northward up
Baja California, then weaken as it hits colder waters near
northern Baja. The exact track and intensity of Hilary once it
moves northward towards Southern California remains uncertain at
this time.

Regardless of the exact track and intensity of Hilary, which
could continue to change in the coming days, it will bring a
substantial surge in moisture into Southern California, with heavy
rainfall and a high potential for flash flooding, especially for
the mountains and deserts. A Flood Watch has been issued for all
areas Saturday through Monday.

Current forecast rainfall estimates Saturday through Monday:

Coast: 2 to 2.50 inches
Valleys: 2.50 to 3 inches
Mojave Desert: 3 to 4.50 inches
San Bernardino County Mtns: 4 to 6 inches, locally up to 8 inches
on the eastern slopes
Riverside and San Diego County Mtns: 4 to 8 inches, locally up to
10 inches on the eastern slopes
Lower Deserts: 4 to 6 inches

In addition to the rainfall and flooding threat, another concern
is the potential for strong east winds Sunday and Monday. The wind
threat will be more dependent on the track of Hilary. Should
Hilary have a more westerly track, the wind threat would likely
be greater, and if the track is more easterly, the threat would be
less.

The combination of heavy rainfall, the potential for flash
flooding, and strong winds could make this a very high impact
event for Southern California. Please stay up to date on the
latest forecasts through the National Hurricane Center
(nhc.noaa.gov) and NWS San Diego at weather.gov/sandiego.

 

[fechter]

That's going to cause some wild flooding in those desert areas. Get the video cameras ready. I was hoping to get some rain out of Hilary, but it looks like only a slight chance of anything measurable here.

 

[The fingers]

All of the satraps are covering their butts after the Maui County Tragedy. So far the only storm is the flooding of emails from panicking disaster phobes as an un-precedented Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Desert Pacific Cali.

 

[The fingers]

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/hemet/92543/tropical-weather-forecast/337079?eventkey=ep092023

 

[The fingers]

El Nino Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
****************************************************************************************************

GOES-West - Sector view: Pacific Southwest - Band 7 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

 

[The fingers]

El Nino Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
***********************************************************************************************************************************************

Total of 0.77” as of 5:00pm, 0.29” in the last hour. Not much wind in this protected valley, peak storm wind 0G8mph at 10:49am PDT.

Adding another 0.51” as of 8:00pm gives a storm total of 1.28” so far.

 

[The fingers]

This storm in 1972 brought thunderstorms. I remember surfing at Newport with lightning striking the water a mile offshore.

Hurricane HyacinthEdit​

Category 3 hurricane (SSHWS)
Duration	August 28 – September 7
Peak intensity	125 mph (205 km/h) (1-min); ≤962 mbar (hPa)

A circulation south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec organized into a tropical depression on August 28. It moved west for a day and then turned to the west northwest. It intensified into a tropical storm on August 29 and a hurricane the next day. Hyacinth peaked as a Category 3 major hurricane on August 31 through September 1. It then weakened. It also began to recurve to the north and then the northeast. Hyacinth reached its westernmost point on September 4 while a tropical storm. On September 6, it weakened into a tropical depression. It then made landfall north of San Diego, California, as a depression later that day, but it was nearly dissipated.[4]

Hyacinth caused increased surf along the coast of California,[8] but was otherwise without serious effects.[4] Tropical Depression Hyacinth's landfall was the first in California since 1939.[1][9]

 

[The fingers]

Additional 0.17” overnight for a storm total of 1.45” barring any thunderstorms coming in today.

 

[The fingers]

Other area Hilary precipitation totals:

Text Products for RRM Issued by SGX

forecast.weather.gov

 

[The fingers]

Detailed Forecast​

This Afternoon
Isolated thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Isolated thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Isolated thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers before 11am. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Labor Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 93.

 

[The fingers]

Rain in the area today but none here.

Text Products for RRM Issued by SGX

forecast.weather.gov

El Nino Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
*****

 

[fechter]

Just barely enough to wet the ground yesterday. Nothing measurable.
I see Burning Man got rained on. Usually the problem there is the dust. When that stuff gets wet, it's a real mess.

 

[The fingers]

Hurricane Jova SW of Baja California tracking WNW.

Loading…

cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

REMNANTS OF MAX

www.nhc.noaa.gov

 

[The fingers]

Detailed Forecast​

This Afternoon
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Occasional sprinkles. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.
Monday
Occasional sprinkles. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night
Intermittent sprinkles. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 90.

 

[The fingers]

Just a few drops of the remnants of Jova with most of the moisture heading for AZ and NM.

GOES-West CONUS - Sandwich - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

 

[The fingers]

CA Endures Worst Mosquito Season In Years. When Will It End?

As the blood-sucking ankle-biters take bite out of the Golden State, human West Nile Virus cases are spiking.

patch.com

My wife and daughter had a yard sale Saturday. Wife had only a couple of bites as did I. I was only outside for a few minutes but my daughter was out front all day and just counted 43 bites on her ankles and calves.

 

[The fingers]

Loading…

www.accuweather.com

 

[The fingers]

Another drippy night, nothing measurable.