MitchJi
10 MW
Hi,
EDIT:
Changed the title and the focus of this thread, from my personal investment in Tesla, to a discussion of investing in Tesla in general. Any related information is welcome. I started that by adding these posts:
http://endless-sphere.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=15&t=68961&start=25#p1048825
This post was added earlier (related information post)
http://endless-sphere.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=15&t=68961&start=25#p1044915
I am about to pull the trigger on a 5 figure Tesla Stock purchase, about 20 percent of our savings. I am also tentatively planning to use about $1k to to lock up some stock with call options, because I believe the Stock will rise substantially after they introduce the Model X. I think that will happen in two phases.
1. They actually start producing cars.
2. People discover that it is a superior car.
My reasoning:
IMO the biggest risk, and also a potentially huge benefit is the Gigafactory. There is a very good chance that Tesla will end up with a supply of excellent cells, at an unbeatable price.
The potential risk IMO is that if sometime in the next 6-24 months develops a superior solid state battery cell. There are several companies that claim they are getting close. A major reason I think that solid state battery cells pose a risk is that they use a completely different manufacturing process.
But even if the worst case scenario happens I think that Tesla will do well (eventually), because I think that Tesla-Elon will produce superior cars. Compared to the Leaf and Volt-Bolt buying a Model 3 will be IMO a no-brainer.
Any intelligent input on the Gigafactory or the timing of the Model X launch would be appreciated.
EDIT:
Changed the title and the focus of this thread, from my personal investment in Tesla, to a discussion of investing in Tesla in general. Any related information is welcome. I started that by adding these posts:
http://endless-sphere.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=15&t=68961&start=25#p1048825
This post was added earlier (related information post)
http://endless-sphere.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=15&t=68961&start=25#p1044915
I am about to pull the trigger on a 5 figure Tesla Stock purchase, about 20 percent of our savings. I am also tentatively planning to use about $1k to to lock up some stock with call options, because I believe the Stock will rise substantially after they introduce the Model X. I think that will happen in two phases.
1. They actually start producing cars.
2. People discover that it is a superior car.
My reasoning:
IMO the biggest risk, and also a potentially huge benefit is the Gigafactory. There is a very good chance that Tesla will end up with a supply of excellent cells, at an unbeatable price.
The potential risk IMO is that if sometime in the next 6-24 months develops a superior solid state battery cell. There are several companies that claim they are getting close. A major reason I think that solid state battery cells pose a risk is that they use a completely different manufacturing process.
But even if the worst case scenario happens I think that Tesla will do well (eventually), because I think that Tesla-Elon will produce superior cars. Compared to the Leaf and Volt-Bolt buying a Model 3 will be IMO a no-brainer.
Any intelligent input on the Gigafactory or the timing of the Model X launch would be appreciated.